Norse journeys to Greenland and Canada are supported by historical and archaeological evidence. Contact between the Thule people ancestors of the modern Inuit and Norse between the 12th or 13th centuries is known. Sweet potato has been radiocarbon-dated in the Cook Islands to CE, and current thinking is that it was brought to central Polynesia c. It is possible that the plant could successfully float across the ocean if discarded from the cargo of a boat.
Autolykos July 24, at 6: And it may well be possible that some people just have a knack for finding and combining the right information at the right time and in the correct way. Deiseach July 24, at 7: I am a world-renowned economist.
As economists go, I am a rock star god amongst my peers. Even non-economists know my name. I have economics all sewed up. That does not mean I know how to prevent blackspot in roses.
A contrarian cluster range of my opinions may let you know how good or bad I am at judging is the consensus opinion in various fields good or not, but nothing more.
Peter July 24, at 7: A big argument breaks out about how to treat blackspot on roses, there are two leading methods, and the gardeners split 2: Arguments get traded back and forth, various anecdotes and studies and bits of evidence get mentioned, but none of the gardeners budge from their initial position.
Finally the economist pipes up: Now if the guy was a top historian or even a rockstar astrophysicist not in the Dr.
May sensethen I might say, yes, their general intelligence, skills at assessing evidence, etc. Nita July 24, at 8: Remember that the idea is to find the Correct Contrarian Cluster — i. Now we have real disagreement. Suppose Bob tells us that the pixies at the bottom of the garden whisper it into his ear under a full moon?
Do we believe Bob and that pixies have now been proven to exist? Sure, perhaps in fifty years time, all the current physicists who reject it will be fodder to point and laugh at, along the lines of People What Believed In Phlogiston.
Either way, the only proof of the pudding is in the eating: Does Bob always back the right horse? Choose the wrong remedy and your roses all die.
This makes it unhelpful for influencing behavior in situations in which people have vested interests, which is nearly all of them. Suppose that old chestnut the Redskins Rule turned out to be non-randomly predictive after all, for some small p.
Fans of the predicted loser would still be unlikely to concede its validity in any particular case. Deiseach July 24, at 2: Is the Ark of the Covenant under the Epcot Centre?
Deiseach July 24, at 6: I know damn-all about economics.
I have two advisers. Bob is recommending a policy Bill says will ruin the country. Bill is saying I should institute reforms Bob says will wreck the nation. How, oh how can I tell who is right? My second, related objection is this: Again, yes, polymath geniuses exist.
Either it will implode, or not. Both of them thought that possible. RCF July 25, at Bob is assigning ten fewer percentage points to the probability. Deiseach July 25, at 4: Here there is a much greater gap between Alice and Bob; Alice is much more confident than not that Greece will implode, Bob is much less confident than not that Greece will implode.People on Tumblr are discussing Eliezer Yudkowsky’s old essay The Correct Contrarian Cluster, and my interpretation was different enough that I thought it might be worth spelling metin2sell.com here it is: is there a General Factor of Correctness?
Remember, IQ is supposed to come from a . Native American: Native American, member of any of the aboriginal peoples of the Western Hemisphere, although the term often connotes only those groups whose original territories were in present-day Canada and the United States.
Learn more about the . The History of Indigenous Peoples in America The Pre-Clovis side of the argument deals with recent findings of sites across America that apparently predate the Clovis, New Mexico settlement.
More about The History of Indigenous Peoples in America Essay. The Persecution of Indigenous People Essay Words | 10 Pages;. History Franks clovis Gregory Tours Essays - Gregory of Tours’ Clovis' Conversion to Orthodox Christianity.
One of the more popular legends of colonial America was that of Prince Madoc of Wales. Madoc sailed west from Wales in , perhaps becoming one of the first Europeans to reach the Americas. The Pacific Northwest Coast at one time had the most densely populated areas of indigenous people ever recorded in Canada.
The land and waters provided rich natural resources through cedar and salmon, and highly structured cultures developed from relatively dense populations. Within the Pacific Northwest, many different nations developed, each with their own distinct history, culture, and society.